Monday 31 August 2015

Don't Tread on Me!

How do we Interpret Operation Fortitude?


On Friday 28th August at 9:52 am Victoria Police issued a statement about an upcoming operation to crack down on anti-social behavior that weekend. These operations are nothing new and quite routine. The operation was to involve Victoria Police, Yarra Trams, The Sheriffs Office, Taxi Service Commission, Metro Trains and the Australian Border Force (ABF).


ABF is a relatively new organisation (it was formed by a merger in July 2015 of the Australian Customs and Border Protection Service and the Department of Immigration and Border Protection. It was modeled on two organisations. Border Force UK and the American Department of Homeland Security.

At 10:14am The ABF released its own statement. It read:

ABF joining inter-agency outfit to target crime in Melbourne CBD
28-08-2015 - 
This weekend Australian Border Force (ABF) officers will for the first time join forces with a diverse team of transport and enforcement agencies to target crime in the Melbourne Central Business District (CBD) as part of Operation Fortitude.
Tonight and tomorrow evening (Friday 28 and Saturday 29 August 2015) Metro Trains, Yarra Trams, the Sheriff’s Office, Taxi Services Commission and the ABF will join Victoria Police as part of the inter-agency operation.
With a particular focus on people travelling to, from and around the CBD, the group of agencies will work together to support the best interests of Melbournians, targeting everything from anti-social behaviour to outstanding warrants.
ABF Regional Commander Victoria and Tasmania, Don Smith, is proud the ABF will be participating in the operation.
While the ABF regularly conducts a range of compliance field-work, this is the first time we’ve been involved in an inter-agency operation of this nature and we’re very proud be able to support each of our organisations to achieve our common mission of promoting a secure and cohesive society here in Melbourne.”
ABF officers will be positioned at various locations around the CBD speaking with any individual we cross paths with,” Mr Smith said.
You need to be aware of the conditions of your visa; if you commit visa fraud you should know it’s only a matter of time before you’re caught out.” (Emphasis Mine)
The inter-agency outfit will continue to work together on an ongoing basis to target crime in and around the Melbourne CBD to make the city a safer place for everyone.

Media opportunity

Operation Fortitude will be launched by representatives from each participating agency at 2pm today (Friday 28 August 2015) on the steps of Flinders Street Railway Station.
ENDS


I have bolded the text which caused the issue. The Australian Border Force told Melbourne that they would be speaking to "individuals we cross paths with". Here it certainly sounded like Border Force were jackbooting around Melbourne, approaching anyone they meet and demanding "Papers Please".

Social media went into meltdown. The hashtag #borderforce trended worldwide. The ABF statement was both incredibly offensive and pointed to illegal behavior on the part of Border Force. A protest was organised at the spot the press conference was to be held. This was Flinders Street Station steps. The beating heart of the city. Traffic was stopped and rail commuters were confronted with placard waving leftist protesters screaming chants like "refugees are welcome, Border Force is not".




Border Force looked to clarify their position quickly and sent out 4 tweets to calm the storm they had created.

The ABF will assist Victoria Police in an operation to target crime in the #Melbourne CBD this weekend 1/4

ABF officers will assist partner agencies by conducting background visa checks on individuals who are referred to us 2/4

The ABF does not and will not stop people at random in the streets & does not target on the basis of race, religion, or ethnicity 3/4

@DIBPAus has regularly conducted compliance activity of this nature in the past. This responsibility will now be continued by ABF 4/4

ABF then tweeted a link to a longer statement.

28-08-2015 -
The Australian Border Force (ABF) will not be ‘stopping people at random’ in Melbourne to ‘check people’s papers’ as reported in media this morning regarding Operation Fortitude.
As stated in this morning’s press release, the ABF will be assisting in a joint operation led by Victoria Police in Melbourne this weekend.
To be clear:
  • This is a joint agency operation led by Victoria Police. 
  • The ABF will assist other agencies in this operation by conducting background visa checks on individuals who are referred to us by Victoria Police and other agencies.
  • The ABF is but one of eight agencies assisting in this operation.
  • The ABF does not and will not stop people at random in the streets and does not target on the basis of race, religion, or ethnicity.
  • Joint operations of this type are common and were previously conducted by Departmental immigration officers.
ABF activity will occur at only two of the numerous locations where Operation Fortitude will be carried out in the Melbourne CBD this weekend.
Media Operations:
(02) 6264 2244



Very quickly Victoria Police (who were in charge of the operation) cancelled the press conference and then cancelled the whole operation. The tone of the comment on social media changed quickly as well. The hashtag #borderforce was replaced by #borderfarce. People were no longer angry, but poked huge amount of fun at the bungled operation.



Border Force went from looking like Heinrich Himmler to Sgt Shultz in minutes. But in the cold light of day, how should we react to this event?


What Went Wrong?

This operation was led by Victoria Police. The legality of Operation Fortitude is quite solid. These operations are routine and legal. Border Force were only part of the operation behind the scenes where Vic Police would bring people they picked up to check visa status. This is Legal. In my opinion it's also a reasonable use of resources.

But Mr Don Smith the head of Victoria and Tasmania Border Force in writing the offending media statement massivly overplayed both Border Force's role in Operation Fortitude and issued the type of menacing statement more expected in Soviet Russia than Liberal Australia.

Either Mr Smith believed this is how the operation would be undertaken, which as an illegal operation would be either grossly incompetent or show an astounding indifference towards the law which is quite explicit that Border Force require "reasonable suspicion of violation of immigration law", or he knew that he described an illegal operation, but hoped no-one would notice.

Law Enforcement agencies always push legal boundaries. It is in the nature of the job. We tell Law enforcement officer to do a job, but in the name of freedom, we make it harder for them by requiring them to get warrants etc. This is the tension Law Enforcement and Legislative Government are required to balance. It is a balance that the Abbott Government has tipped massively against freedom and towards Law Enforcement.

The Abbott Government has flat-lined almost terminally in the polls. Only one issue raises a murmur in the polls from the dead heart of the voting public. National Security. It didn't go unnoticed by Abbott and his colleagues that the more he makes Australia scared, the more votes he gets.

According to Laura Tingle Tony Abbott is trying to capitalise in this fact by delivering one defense/security "announcable" per week until the election. This Operation Fortitude participation is one of those announcables. I think it's quite likely that Don Smith was told to overstate Border Force's role in Operation Fortitude by his management under pressure from the Federal Government.

So the Border Force press release and the press conference were intended to make Melbourne feel safe from the scourge of immigrants, by threatening immigrants. They showed such an amazing tone deafness to a city of immigrants that one immediately has to suspect the Abbott Government's hand.

Most of the commentariat fell into their well worn rolls talking about this issue. The right wingers laughed at how anyone could imagine jackbooted thugs on the streets of Melbourne. This was all just a beat-up about a badly worded press release. They were right. The left wingers railed against the militarism of Border Force and their leaders. They were also correct.



DON'T TREAD ON ME!

Something significant occured on friday. Border Force collectivly threatened Melbourne. They told Melbourne they would be checking visa's at random. The press release not only could be read that way, but In my opinion was intended to be read that way. Melbourne Said "No". A line was drawn in the sand that will make it more difficult for another government to cross. When push came to shove Melbourne stared back at the bully and declared "DON'T TREAD ON ME"!


Friday 21 August 2015

Why Tony Abbott Must Resign

Why Tony Abbott Must Resign


This blog is intended to say something original. I don't post every day because I cant always come up with an original idea every day. But today i'm going to echo the blogosphere and the people at large and call for Tony Abbott to step down as PM. We all know he won't go willingly, but in the end he must go.
My Charges Against Mr Abbott


He has used executive power against political opponents:

Tony Abbott has broken convention in using the power of Royal Commissions to attack his political opponents. Royal Commissions are established by the Governor general on the advice of the Government of the day. They are controlled by the Prime Minister.
The first Commission I have a problem with is the Royal Commission into the Home Insulation Scheme. Abbott dragged Julia Gillard, Kevin Rudd and Peter Garrett into a quasi court in a bid to punish them after their time in Government. Their only crime? To be on the left of the political spectrum.

The Home Insulation Scheme was a policy of the Rudd Govt to insulate home free of charge in an attempt to reduce heating costs, lower greenhouse gas emissions, stimulate the economy after the global financial crisis and lower unemployment. In order to overcome the looming recession caused by global financial crisis this programme had to move quickly.

Mistakes were assuredly made. Contractors cut corners. Some roofs were accidentally electrified and some homes were burned down. 4 people died in this programme. But Mr Rudd/Ms Gillard and Mr Garrett most certainly didn't light those fires or electrocute those workers. That was shoddy work from contractors breaking the law.
Even John Howard was uncomfortable with this kind of political punishment.



But making his former mentor uncomfortable didn't deter Mr Abbott from a second Royal Commission. This one was into the union movement. There was some evidence of corruption in the Union movement, more has been brought to light by the Royal Commission, but the real reason behind having it was to get Bill Shorten on the stand and make him look untrustworthy by flinging mud at him. It was working to a degree until news of the Commissioner Dyson Heydon's agreement to speak at a Liberal Party fundraiser. The fact that he hasn't recused himself yet is just dumb. Because as the illustrious Judge has proclaimed himself:

"It is fundamental to the administration of justice that the judge be neutral,.......It is for this reason that the appearance of departure from neutrality is a ground of disqualification … because the rule is concerned with the appearance of bias, and not the actuality, it is the perception of the hypothetical observer that provides the yardstick."

So in my opinion, this Royal Commission was set up to smear Bill Shorten. It's fundamentally a political operation of the Liberal Party and no High Court Judge should have taken the job. The judge they got was biased because you have to put good party men in the job if you want the correct outcome I.E. The smearing of the opposition leader.

So Mr Abbott is misusing executive power to attack his enemies.

Why does this matter? The misuse of executive power to attack political opponents is a reoccurring theme throughout history and almost always leads to dysfunctional governments. It was a large part of the reason that the Roman Republic became ungovernable as a Republic and led to the installation of the Emperors.


 In France the atrocities committed by the Committee for Public Safety began as attacks on their enemies through highly legal means.
I'm not saying that Tony Abbott is a dictator (far from it), but that he is planting seeds that the next PM and the next and the next might abuse.

A second problem is that it leads to an arms race. Abbott will probably lose the next election. Do you think Bill Shorten might retaliate in kind? It's highly likely. I'd suggest a Royal Commission into the Nauru detention centre allegations is likely to happen. As it should. But it should happen because of the groundswell of public opinion as was the case over the Royal Commission into the Catholic Church's abuse of children.

Soon I can foresee a time where PM's will be faced with the prospect of jail time after they lose power. That's the very threat that lead Julius Caesar to cross the Rubicon and bring civil war to the Roman Republic. A war the Republic did not survive.
It's not the next few years I worry about, but a steady escalation of the political arms race. That leads to disfunction and blockage. I hope 50 or 100 years into the future historians won't look back on the Abbott years as an Australian crossing of the rubicon that led to Parliamentary disfunction and years of turmoil.

None of this will happen if Abbott admits he was wrong to prosecute politics by judiciary and hands over the reigns of leadership to someone else.


Monday 10 August 2015

Roger Ailes - Losermaker

Who can save the Republicans?

Last week in the build up to the 1st set of Republican Debates I opined that the American Right have tied themselves a Gordian Knot. The Gordian Knot was tied by the king of Phyrigia. Whoever untied the knot would be king of Phyrgia. This mythical knot was impossible to undo. However when Alexander the Great arrived in Phrygia he simply pulled out his sword and cut the knot. It's a metaphor for lateral thinking. It applies to the Republican Party in the 2016 election.



Remember that this party has won one presidential election legitimately since 1988. That of 2004. And that was during a time of war. In 2000 Al Gore won both the popular vote and after all the votes were counted in Florida won that state, but Florida's Supreme Court (installed by Bush's brother) ruled that counting was to stop before all votes were counted.
Basically there are 3 factors stopping the Republican Party adapting to a changing and latinising America.

  1. The Echo Chamber:
It has been consistently shown that people who watch Fox News are far more likely to be badly informed and factually wrong. Of course it isn't just Fox News, the radio is full of conservative Rush Limbaugh wannabes reverberating to whatever tune the echo chamber is singing today. 


Sadly this applies to lawmakers as well as voters. Witness Mitt Romney repeat Fox News talking points about Benghazi as fact in the 2012 presidential debates and feel the cold sting of reality seconds later.



    1. Gerrymandering:
The Republican voter lives in this Republican Echo Chamber. The continued Gerrymandering of seats by both Republican and Democratic Parties means that Republican House members almost all sit in safe districts, which means they cant lose to Democrats, but they can lose their seat to other Republicans. Other Republicans who live in a fact averse echo chamber. This ultimately pushes the party to the right far beyond the American populace.



    1. Free Trade Effect
As America pursues Economic Liberalism and worldwide level playing field it's workers wages have not grown in real world terms in 40 years. The Republicans white working class core voter has not done well under this regime. Bad times always push voters to the political right. A right wing fact averse echo chamber tells them who to blame. Pushing them furthor right. They then reinforce the feedback those in the echo chamber recieve and the whole process becomes a vicious cycle.

The problem for the Republican Party is that these factors are driving them further and further from the American mainstream.
Fox News is a money making concern and lobbying tool. If you think Rupert Murdoch's thinking about whats best for America you're sadly mistaken. Everything he does is for Rupert Murdoch and News Corporation.

Back to the Gordian Knot


Republicans are watching the country they know and love slip slowly away from them. It's a distressing feeling. Every elections minorities become more and more powerful. The voting power of non whites increased from 24% to 26% between the 2008 and 2012 Presidential elections. Women make up 50% of the population, but Republicans struggle to speak to minorities and women.
Last presidential election Republican Candidates failed atrociously to speak about women and minorities. Watch Todd Aitkin completely blunder his way through this interview and talk about "Legitimate Rape" whatever that is and completely fails to understand biology, seemingly believing in magic vaginas.




Who can Untie the Gordian Knot?

While this far right culture predominates in the Republican Party the party itself will continue to dominate the mid-terms, but completely fail to win the Presidency. What is needed is a new type of Republican who can carry the bulk of the party, but bring large numbers of women and minorities back to the party of Abraham Lincoln. Then the established party needs to accept these new recruits. This needs to happen, because a 2 party democracy with only 1 healthy party leads to an unhealthy country.

.

Roger Ailes-Losermaker


It was notable that Fox News chose the 10 candidates in the 1st debate. The debate's, makeup was ultimately chosen by Roger Ailes, the head of Fox News. Fox of course is seen as a natural home for the Republican Party Debate. But Fox News will lose out if someone breaks the echo chamber. They have no incentive to back reasonable candidates and every incentive to ensure the status quo. While the candidates in the debate were fairly chosen, they included 2 former Fox talking heads and did not include Carly Fiorina, who's performance on the under-card debate might just have won her promotion to prime time for next time




Carly Fiorina


Carly Fiorina performed well during the under-card debate, which Fox happily filmed inside an empty stadium to make these candidates look irrelevant. Despite that, Carly Fiorina (ex Hewlett Packard) exec. might be the one able to move the Republican Party back into health. Hopefully as a no-nonsense businesswoman, she recognises an echo-chamber when she see's one.


Marco Rubio


Marco Rubio performed well enough in the debate to earn a slot in the next one. As a Cuban American, he might just have the lightness of touch to bring Latino's in without alienating the party establishment.


As for the rest.....not an original thought amongst them. None of them will beat Clinton next year. None of those can untie this knot. 

Tuesday 4 August 2015

Donald Trump is the worlds greatest Troll by Nate Silver

Donald Trump is the worlds greatest troll by Nate Silver

How it all turned bad for the Abbott Govt by Phillip Coorey





http://www.afr.com/news/politics/how-it-all-turned-bad-for-the-abbott-government-20150804-gir4p5

Is this the worst Government ever?

Sally Young looks at Abbott's legislative record in today's SMH

http://www.smh.com.au/comment/is-tony-abbotts-regime-the-worst-federal-government-ever-20150803-giqtnx.html

Republican Presidential Debate Time Is Here!



Why the Republican Party Can't Win




I have a confession to make. I'm a political junkie. I find the world around me and the people in it endlessly fascinating. Trying to understand why our society is the way it is keeps me up at night. Then there are the things that bring me joy. One of those is about to begin.



The debates between candidates for the Republican party nomination begin on August 6th. It's a circus. It's like watching the a train crash in slow motion. This year we have the clown in chief (Donald Trump) who will be trying to out wacky some of weirdest and wackiest candidates the Grand Old Party (GOP) have ever thrown together.

The contrast between the Republican debates and the Democratic debates is as fascinating as it is informative. Democratic debates are filled with sensible earnest looking people putting on their serious face and explaining how their 4,500 page tax plan is the good for the nation. Republicans on the other hand will just scream that the Internal Revenue Service (IRS) who collects tax is in everybody's face and when elected President I'll abolish it. And the crowd goes wild!

As amusing as it is, it's indicative of a larger fact. Republican's cant win. The most obvious reason, is that American demographics have changed and are continuing to change. Since 1992 Republican candidates have legitimately won one election presidential election. That of 2004. The election of 2000, was so close, that it was called before all the votes were counted. It turns out, that after all the votes were counted, Al Gore, not George Bush won the state of Florida and therefore should have been declared president. 2004 was an anomaly due to the Iraq war.

How did it come to this?

America continues to diversify. In the 2012 presidential election 26.3 % of voters were non-white, up 2 % from 2008.. That doesn't sound like much, but consider that Obama won that particular segment by 80% - 17% for Mitt Romney and you can see that the GOP has a real problem. In fact after the 2012 election defeat the Republican National Committee (RNC) postmortem opened with the words:
The definition of insanity, is doing the same thing over and over again and expecting different results."
Sadly nothing has changed since 2012.

Immigration



Latino (or Spanish speaking) voters are the second largest minority in the USA after African Americans. They make up 20 million eligible voters. They tend to be 1st or 2nd generation immigrants to america. The immigration programme is something they're quite familiar with. When Republican candidates talk about immigration, however they tend to do so in unflattering terms. Such as:
" When Mexico sends its people, they’re not sending their best. They’re not sending you. They’re not sending you. They’re sending people that have lots of problems, and they’re bringing those problems with us. They’re bringing drugs. They’re bringing crime. They’re rapists." - Donald Trump June 2015

Insanity

While it's obvious to anyone that insulting the voters you need for the general election is insane, it has to be done. The reason is that of course anyone running a line that is remotely palatable to voters in the general election simply can't win the Republican Party nomination.

But Why?

I think there are a 3 major reasons for this. The first we'll call the Echo Chamber Effect.


Echo Chamber Effect?

One of the most unexpected effects of the information revolution was the echo chamber effect. People were now free to gain information about the world around them from only the sources they believed in. People no longer sat down together to watch the evening news. News could be had from anywhere and from anyone. People didn't choose the mainstream media anymore, they wanted news they agreed with all the time.


This was the perfect time for Rupert Murdoch to start Fox News. Fox News is the most brazen partisan news organisation there has been, and probably ever will be. Fox News truly lives in an alternate universe where Barack Obama is a communist born in Kenya. They employ circular logic to brainwash viewers in exactly the same way a cult does. Any information (such as this blog) that does not agree with Fox is a product of the evil liberal media. Therefore it is rejected, which feeds the belief in Fox and the conservative media.

Amusingly (and frighteningly) it isn't just voters who become brainwashed by this nonsense. Karl Rove simply refused to believe Obama had been elected in 2012. Why? All the polls pointed to a Romney win. This doesn't make sense. Except it makes perfect sense, because Fox was lying about the polls and had been for months. His meltdown is amusing in a sad kind of way and you can watch it here:


Powerful Republicans are just as likely to fall into this alternate universe as the white working class voters who make up the majority of their constituency. It's an Orwellian place where facts have no meaning, change constantly or are ignored if not helpful to the republican cause. But the biggest problem about the echo chamber, is that Republicans have started to believe their own propaganda.


The Gerrymander Effect?

The USA has no independent umpire when it comes to drawing electoral boundaries. Gerrymandering is drawing the political boundaries for political gain. The original Gerrymander was enacted by Massachusetts Governor Elbridge Gerry in 1812 and looked like a salamander.


What happens is that both parties get together to group all voters of one party together to create a safe seat. Both party's benefit from this practice by reducing the amount of seats "in play" so that finite party resources can be spent on fewer and fewer marginal districts. Unfortunately in the USA today the House of Representatives has extremely few contested districts.

The average Congressman sits in a very safe seat. The public are extremely unlikely to throw him or her out. On the other hand, they must listen very closely to those in their party. If they become unpopular, they will lose the right to stand for their party. Their party who are caught up in this alternate universe where reality and facts do not tread. It leads to Congressman denouncing global warming as a devious plot designed to bring back socialism or whatever claptrap the echo chamber is reverberating with today. I would like to remind you that these people make policy decisions that effect not just America but their footprint echos throughout the 7.3 BILLION humans on planet Earth.


Free Trade Effect

Republican voters in America today tend to be the lesser educated manual laborers. Salt of the Earth people like miners, plumbers and manufacturing workers. These are the people who have suffered from overseas competition. Competition from economies that have far lower wages.. Real wages among the working and middle class in America haven't risen in 40 years.


It's always during difficult economic times that the far right raises its ugly head. As Americans lives fail to get better, people need someone to blame. According to the right wing eco-chamber it's Obama. But of course it's also immigration.




The American right has tied a Gordian Knot for itself. To break out of the echo chamber is damn near impossible. 4 years ago Mitt Romney didn't even try. Will Someone manage it this year?


Governor Jeb Bush


Not Jeb Bush who has put together the same team his brother had. So expect America to invade Belgium if he's ever elected. But of course he wont be. Being brother to the WORST AMERICAN PRESIDENT in a generation is a handicap he can't beat.

Governor Chris Christie


Current Goveror of New Jersey. Too moderate (sensible) for most Republican voters, but if by some miracle he is nominated might make a good opponent for Hillary, and a POSSIBLE GOOD PRESIDENT. Could be the one to untie the Gordian Knot.

Senator Ted Cruz


Political bomb thrower. GOD HELP AMERICA if he's ever elected


Governor Scott Walker


RIGHT WING IDEALOG. Current Governor of Wisconson. My Personal Pick for the nomination. I think he'll win the nomination, run against Hillary and lose.

Dr Ben Carsen


GROUND BREAKING NEUROSURGEON. Currently polling well. African American. A dark horse.

Governor Mike Huckabee


Former Governor of Arkansas, CHRISTIAN ACTIVIST and FOX NEWS PERSONALITY Governor Mike Huckabee. He's likable enough but definitely wont be the nominee. As a Fox News Talking Head, he cant break the Republican Party free of the echo chamber.


Senator Marco Rubio


CUBAN AMERICAN Marco Rubio from Florida is an impressive orator and could portray a more welcoming America in the general election. Which is why he won't win the nomination. An acolyte of Jeb Bush, he's handicapped by Bush's run as well. Possible untier of that Gordian Knot.


Senator Rand Paul


SON OF SENATOR RON PAUL, Rand has made his mark as a Libertarian Candidate. He's a bit of a political bomb thrower and far too unorthodox to be in real contention. Doesnt live in the echo chamber, therefore has little credibility to those inside it.


Governor John Kasich


Current Governor of Ohio, former member of the House of Representatives and former FOX NEWS PERSONALITY. Definitely wont break the echo chamber.

Donald Trump


Property magnate and Reality TV Star Donald Trump is a 21st Century PT Barnum. The circus is in town and he is the ringmaaster and head clown. His ties to the Clinton's will be exploited if he continues to lead in the polls. He revels in controversy. All the serious candidates are waiting for him to screw up and burn out.



The Clown


So we return to where we began. Donald Trump's popularity is a symptom of the sickness and depravity of the echo chamber world of right wing politics in the USA right now. While democrats chuckle to themselves about how this election is a shoe-in, the rest of America and the world aren't laughing. Candidates who could challenge the Democrats and make good Presidents are left by the roadside while morons and idiots hurl invective around insulting everyone who isn't white, straight and christian. It's quite the spectacle, but a healthy democracy needs at least two strong parties. What we have here is one party who aren't even trying (Clinton again) vs a drunk, disorderly knife fight. Americas problems that need addressing that don't go away. They just get shelved as too hard.

Sunday 2 August 2015

Bronwyn Bishop Expenses Scandal

What the Bronwyn Bishop Scandal Says About Both Sides of Government




So Bronwyn Bishop has finally resigned from the Speakership of the Parliament of Australia. Thank goodness that's over. Being Speaker of the House was always an ambition for Bronnie, after a senior cabinet post became out of the question. Her points of order objections were the stuff of legend among those who inhabit the lower chamber.

One can understand then her reluctance to leave her position, it comes with a very nice residence, plenty of perks and makes you feel important. But the lasting impression that I have is that had she been sensible, she would still been speaker.



First of all there is the actual expenses claim. $5000 on a Helicopter ride when it really must have only saved 45 minutes at the most is ridiculous. But lets not forget the $90,000 European trip aimed at securing the Presidency of the Inter-Parliamentary Union.

Then there is claims to attend the weddings of colleagues where Parliamentary business was discussed with shadowy somebodies we cant know.

The rules are crystal clear. Party and personal business cannot be claimed. Commonwealth business can. Simples.

Of course these were bad. But not intolerable.

Secondly and I think more importantly was her (and the govt's) response to the scandal when it erupted. After a few days she fronted the media and refused to say sorry. She did say the biggest apology she could make is that she would pay back the money, but then claimed that she was on Commonwealth business talking to people as Speaker of the House. The fact that these people were Liberal Party doners went unsaid. This was fraud. Pure fraud. Had she said "The helicopter ride was wrongly classified and exorbitant. I'm repaying it, I made a mistake." She would still be speaker today. Instead she accepted no responsibility.


Thirdly this was a massive case of Bronwyn and Tony's chickens coming home to roost. It was Tony's opposition that mercilessly pursued the last Speaker of the House Peter Slipper. A man who was sentenced to 300 hrs of community service, given a 2 year good behavior bond and told to repay his $958 expenses claim on Cabcharge.


Bronwyn's conduct as speaker also contributed to the the force with which Labor pursued Mrs Bishop. The Speaker was unfair and divisive. She kindled genuine anger in those opposite. Therefore when the expenses scandal broke Labor (who have a vested interest in voters not paying too close attention to politicians expenses) decided to attack fully.



There is a disturbing trend in the last 8 years in Australia for politicians to ignore the big picture. This was pioneered by Kevin Rudd. John Howard had an overall narrative. He maintained that interest rates would always be lower under Liberal than Labor. He wanted everything he did and said to be interpreted through that lens. This is where Kevin, Julia and Tony have all failed. They play the 24hr media cycle. If you have more positive coverage in a given period of time than the other side you win. But with no long term plan, the small gains mean very little. Hugely popular PM's can fall quickly and hard.(eg PM Rudd.). The genius of Howard's approach is that even unpopular actions were interpreted through a lens created by Howard himself. It creates robust political support. What we have now is a bunch of private school prefects arguing over unimportant nonsense that is completely removed from everyday Australia's life.

It's a "Total War" approach to politics which eschews common sense and reason, boiling political life down to a Real Time Strategy video game. But we aren't just units on a battlefield to be ordered, rallied, cajoled or sacrificed. We have lives, homes, children, hopes and dreams.

John Howard, Paul Keating, Robert Menzies et.al understood this. They reasoned that as human beings we needed to trust our leaders. They outlined their vision for Australia and advocated powerfully for their ideas. 


Contrast that with todays generation of politicians. Explain to me Bill Shorten's vision for Australia. Or Tony Abbott's for that matter. They don't have one. They just grind on bit by bit day by day with minutia. Don't give an inch. Don't let them push you back. But none of it means anything.

Bronwyns way of dealing with her public sinning is indicative of this new culture. "Give them nothing". Nothing that could be construed as an apology. Especially if that is what is called for. The problem with this approach, is that it forgets who the message is aimed at. We the public can detect bullshit. And Bronnies confession without confessing stank. Bigtime.

So to any politicians or political staff reading this. Your culture is terrible. Wake up to yourself. You're not fooling us, just reminding us how we despise liars and removing hope for the future.

Bronwyn Bishop finally accepts the inevitable



2 Prof Farnsworths in one day!

http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/bronwyn-bishop-resigns-as-speaker-20150802-gipry2.html