Tuesday 14 October 2014

Did Tony Abbott really just physically threaten Vladimir Putin?

Why is Tony Abbott Going to “Shirtfront” Vladimir Putin






So Tony Abbott has physically threatened the President of Russia. If you want to know what a shirtfront is then watch this video:


Now I hope that Mr Abbott was speaking figuratively, but one world leader should never physically threaten another world leader. Especially one who has a black belt in Judo and a nuclear arsenal of more than 5000 weapons.


Why is Tony doing this?

The answer is simple- Votes. The shooting down of MH 17 was a shocking occurrence to many Australians. The fact that the aircraft was carrying so many Australians came as a surprise to many Australians who still tend to feel that our isolation protects us from the intrigues of the wider world. Russia has been historically unpopular in this country since the MH17 shoot-down. Also since the MH17 Shoot-down Mr Abbott's popularity has risen sharply. Abbott's strident criticism of Putin has been quite popular. With his renewed War On ISIS in Iraq Abbott has moved from Laughing stock (anyone remember #TonyDumDum) to a viable choice for re-election. Mr Putin is unwittingly helping him do it.
There is truth in what he says – Yes I put this one after the political expedient, but it is quite true that Vladimir started a war for the Crimea. He provided the weapons and the training for the Ukrainian separatists. He is at least complicit in the shoot-down if not ultimately responsible for it. There is little at stake. The trade between Russia and Australian is negligible. As an energy provider to China and many other nations, Russia is more competitor than partner in trade. Therefore few Australian Jobs are at stake, the Australian Chamber of Commerce won't fire up and speak out against him. This argument with Russia is all upside for the one time ailing PM.



Is there Anything in it for Putin?


Actually there is. While Australia is not high on Russia's priorities, and I doubt very much that Abbott's comments last night were included in My Putins morning brief today, there is some mileage to be made out of this by the Russians.
In Russian Propaganda the West has lost it's way. Misguided by our freedom and equality for all we have given in to the deviants in our societies. Only Russia has remained true. It is the last place civilisation still thrives. It's only natural that Obama, Cameron, Abbott, Merkel, etc attack him.



Where to From Here


Putin's grip on power in Russia is absolute in one way, but slipping in another. Dictators always do well during the good times, but of course the good times are fast receding in the rear view mirror. A good stoush is great for popularity in the short term, but often buys your nation more trouble in the long term. I hope this is the xcase for Russia and Putin.





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